Pulling the Alarm on the Muslim Brotherhood - Part III of III
What Country is Likely to Fall First?
The order ranks countries by projected Muslim shares, existing Islamist infrastructure, and vulnerabilities like progressive policies or secular fatigue:
Sweden (~2040s–2060s Tipping Point): Highest projection (30.6% by 2050), with the Nuance Party already campaigning for EU seats via immigrant mobilisation. Vulnerability: Strong welfare state and multiculturalism facilitate alliances; far-right backlash (Sweden Democrats) prompts left-Islamist pacts for “inclusivity.” Packaging: Reforms as “social equity” (e.g., halal in schools as diversity).
Belgium (~2050s): Muslims 18.2% by 2050, with the ISLAM party pushing Sharia-framed as rights; a bilingual system aids ethnic blocs in Brussels (already ~25% Muslim). Gramscian entryism via NGOs; sensitivity phase via EU influence.
France (~2050s–2070s): 17.4% by 2050, echoing Submission‘s scenario of alliances against National Rally. Suburban concentrations enable local power; self-doubt from laïcité debates aids hegemony shifts.
Netherlands (~2060s): 15.2% by 2050; DENK’s ethnic politics evolves into broader coalitions. The proportional system favours niche parties; guilt over colonialism packages changes as “reparative justice.”
Germany (~2060s): 19.7% by 2050; DAVA (Erdogan-linked) builds on Turkish diaspora. Economic leverage via Gulf investments; hegemony through education reforms.
United Kingdom (~2060s–2070s): 16.7% by 2050; urban majorities in cities like Birmingham; independent Muslim candidates form blocs, framing as “community empowerment.”
Austria (~2070s): 19.9% by 2050; far-right history (FPÖ) ironically enables counter-alliances. Sensitivity via EU migration policies.
Italy (~2070s–2080s): 12.4% by 2050; lower start but aging population and migration from Africa accelerate; Catholic fatigue aids cultural shifts.
Spain (~2080s): 7.2% by 2050; historical Moorish ties invoked for guilt; slower due to lower migration, but urban growth in Madrid/Barcelona.
Canada (~2080s–2090s): ~6-8% by 2050, concentrated in Toronto/Vancouver; multiculturalism policy (e.g., Charter of Rights) facilitates “sensitivity” laws; alliances with Liberals for immigrant votes.
United States (Last, ~2100s+): Only 2.1% by 2050; geographic spread, strong First Amendment, and assimilation hinder blocs. Urban pockets (e.g., Michigan) offer local influence, but national tipping requires centuries.
